Ich teile seine Ansichten teilweise, sehe aber inzwischen auch einiges eher kritisch, aber er ist auf jeden Fall einer der wenigen Politiker bei dem ich das Gefühl habe, dass er wirklich was verbessern will.

Ich weiß immer noch nicht ganz was ich davon halten soll.

Einerseits glaube ich, dass es praktisch relativ wenig Unterschied macht, wen wir da tatsächlich hinschicken, andererseits bleibt bei mir der EIndruck, als wäre das mal wieder ein Beispiel wo Personen, wenn sie erstmal gewisse Kreise erreicht haben, mehr oder weniger Narrenfreiheit haben. Da werden Dinge zurechtgebogen wie es einem am besten passen, anstatt dass man halt mal Pech hat, wenn es nicht genau so läuft wie man es sich wünscht. Und der “Normalo” in dem Fall Helga Schmid (die dafür ja wohl ebenfalls bestens qualifiziert und schon ausgewählt war) hat dann das Nachsehen, ohne zumindest mir offensichtliche fachliche Gründe, sondern nur weil sie halt nicht im Richtigen Club war.

Es ist ja nicht so als ob Baerbock nicht auch einfach nochmal ne runde im Parlament hätte sitzen können. Über die Liste wäre sie sicher eingezogen und finanziell wäre das eventuell sogar lukrativer für sie gewesen. Wenn sie sich jetzt als Außenministerin besonders verdient gemacht hätte, dann würde ich es vielleicht noch einsehen. Aber bei mir hat sie keinen Nennenswerten Eindruck hinterlassen und ich weiß nicht ob sie irgendwas mit ihrer “feministischen” Außenpolitik erreicht hat.

I mean comparatively to HDDs.

Of course there are also challenges to making a high capacity SSD, but i don’t think they are using fundamentally new methods to achieve higher capacities. Yes they need to design better controllers and heat management becomes a larger factor, but the nand chips to my knowledge are still the same you’d see in smaller capacities. And the form factor has the space to accomodate them.

If HDDs could just continue to stack more of the same platters into a drive to increase capacity they’d have a much easier time to scale.

How about a 122.88tb SSD? Large SSDs are pretty common in the enterprise market and arguably much easier to manufacture since you only need to put a bunch of nand chips on a pcb.

Beim Thema Sterbehilfe hatten wir auch schon Artikel wie “Sterbehilfe: Spahn boykottiert Recht”. Konsequenzen hatte das absolut keine und Spahn ist heute Fraktionsvorsitzender.

Your claim that they would advertise it is speculation. What would be the purpose of that?

To advertise that they can? In return what would be the purpose to hide it?

They do seem to make their advancements at least somewhat public, e.g. with their recent progress with a EUV light source.

I am probably on the pessimistic side and you maybe on the optimistic, so the reality will likely end up being somewhere in between (but only time will tell).

China will do this because they have massive talent mass and ressources, and because they have to.

Well it also was developed in the west by a large amount of talent and resources and still took a lot of time. But you are absolutely right that their hand is being forced.

Restricting exports like this imo was a huge mistake, imo especially in regard to duv. In the end it might have achieved some damage in the short/medium term, but that wasn’t anything the us could capitalize on and it also directly hurt ASMLs profits (meaning less resources to advance). And regardless how the timeline ends up looking on the end (be it closer to your or my prediction), physics are the same everywhere so that can’t be restricted and they will eventually be able to figure it out.

GAA is the next evolution of transistor architecture from FinFET, but as far as I know has no direct link to smaller process nodes. In that (to my understanding) it doesn’t require small nodes and could be used just as easily in larger ones. It’s just that it is more difficult so until now there were other easier ways to make progress. However with new nodes getting more expensive and giving less scaling gaa and other things like backside power delivery are being pursued.

We will have to see if the process is actually good, but I have little doubt that China will become competitive in EUV within 5 years. But if they have it already next year, that will be very fast.

So not only do you expect China to have a working domestically produced EUV machine within 5 years, but a competitive one? Or possibly even next year?

Next year is just pure fantasy that I don’t think even the most optimistic would assume. If they were anywhere close to that we would already know. They’d have shown a working prototype by now.

Euv is crazy difficult and you not only the result of a single company ASML, but many highly specialized companies that are leaders in their respective fields and all over the world like e.g. Zeiss for for the lenses. So for China to replicate it domestically they’d need to copy the whole supply chain. Which is orders of magnitude more difficult than what they’ve done in other industries like electric vehicles or solar panels.

Imo if they have a working prototype of a complete EUV machine within this decade it would already be impressive. But that would still be far off from mass production or wherever the industry is by then (Intel is currently trialing high na EUV). Also for reference Wikipedia says ASML had their first prototype in 2006 and we know how long it took to being that to mass production. China as a second mover might have an edge that speed things up, but just knowing how it works in theory isn’t enough and there are o shortcuts.

But maybe they also pursue another technique such as nano imprint (like canon) to achieve smaller nodes. Maybe that would be easier to replicate without existing global supply chains.

Well there are claims that Huawei is aiming for 3nm with GAA with tape out next year See Here.

I think we shouldn’t forget that the nm numbers really are just that: Numbers. They don’t correspond to any specific measurements and can be chosen more or less arbitrarily. So 6nm for example might just be a slightly refined 7nm node.

Another thing is power efficiency and yields. If they get 4060 performance at terrible yields and with massive power draw then it is very different to getting there at similar parameters as Nvidia.

If China does end up cracking EUV by themselves it would indeed be massive. It’s arguably one of the most complex things mankind has ever done. But there are so many factors to get right that tbh I don’t see it happening any time soon.

Do you even have to pay hosting costs, if you put a game on steam or does valve not distribute your game for free?

If I’d have to guess the bigger issues with a game like this would be licensing or that delisting allows some form of tax advantageous asset depreciation.

Ich muss gestehen, dass ich mich nicht wirklich mit der Materie auskenne, und lasse mich deswegen gerne eines besseren belehren, aber ich stehe dem ganzen sehr negativ gegenüber.

Letztlich kann FlixTrain hier doch einfach Rosinenpickerei betreiben und sich nur die besten und profitablen Strecken und Zeitslots heraussuchen. Falls sich eine Fahrt als unprofitable heraus stellt, bietet man sie nicht mehr an. Das kann die Bahn nicht, denn sie muss gesellschaftlichen und politischen Zielen folgen.

Wenn der Lokführer der DB vorher eine andere unprofitable Stecke bedienen muss, kann es dadurch zu Dominoeffekten kommen. Ein weiteres Problem das es für FlixTrain nicht gibt.

Und ich bin mir 100%ig sicher, dass wenn FlixTrain als Unternehmen doch auf die Nase fliegen sollte, dann werden sie sofort Wettbewerbsverzerrung schreien und entweder Schadensersatz verlangen oder, dass die Bahn ihren Service verschlechtert.